Brookline could accommodate its ten-year goal of roughly 2,400 additional homes through projects already proposed and potential redevelopment, according to an analysis presented to the Comprehensive Plan Steering Committee.

Draft minutes included in the committee’s October agenda packet describe the analysis consultant Jill Dixon of Agency Landscape + Planning presented Sept. 14.

The project pipeline contains approximately 2,330 units, with about 1,675 considered likely to be built. Using the rounded figures, those likely projects would leave roughly 725 units needed to reach the goal.

The analysis estimates that redevelopment within the plan’s thematic opportunity map could accommodate approximately 780 additional units. That would cover the remaining need under the analysis’s assumptions, but does not guarantee construction.

Town planner Kara Brewton described the exercise as a way to test whether the map is reasonable, rather than predict exactly what will be built.

Redevelopment assumptions shape the estimate

The analysis assumes redevelopment over ten years on 1% of parcels classified as Enhance, 7.5% classified as Expand and 5% classified as Transform.

Those categories cover approximately 3,200 acres, 75 acres and 80 acres, respectively. About 280 acres of major parcels were excluded from the calculation, according to the draft minutes.

The committee also directed changes to the map. In Coolidge Corner, members called for the block between Trader Joe’s and the post office to move from Transform to Expand. Cypress Lofts and an adjacent Buddhist temple on Route 9 would be removed from Transform.

Other revisions included identifying the Center Street and Babcock Street parking lots as study areas and noting that 26 Pleasant St. is under consideration by Town Meeting.

Commercial strategy remains unfinished

Committee Chair Paul Warren called for a comparable analysis of commercial development, identifying a commercial target and strategy as a missing part of the plan.

Staff said projected growth of approximately 510 jobs could potentially be accommodated by one or two major commercial projects. A commercial market study is planned.

At the Sept. 28 meeting, the committee voted 9-0 to approve five draft sections: Mobility, Thriving Commercial Areas, Livable Neighborhoods, Community Wellbeing and Expanded Housing Options. Review of Climate Action was deferred.

Those committee votes are steps toward a completed plan. The town’s comprehensive planning process calls for the final draft to go to the Planning Board and Select Board for approval.

Residents can send written comments to community planner Jake Collins.